In 1992, Eugene Fama and Kenneth French published a paper that changed academic finance for good. They showed that the market alone could not explain stock returns. Two other measurable traits did a lot of the work: company size and the ratio of book value to market price. The CAPM model that had ruled for decades was incomplete.
That paper opened a 30 year research programme into what are now called factors: measurable stock characteristics that have predicted returns across markets, decades and countries. The important ones show up in Indian data too, and NSE now runs an index for almost every one of them.
A factor is a measurable characteristic of a stock that research has linked to returns above the market over long periods. Same signal, every stock, applied the same way for years. Not a tip. A rule.
classic factors: value, momentum, quality, low volatility, size
Academic literature since 1992
Nifty200 Momentum 30 TRI, CAGR since April 2005
NSE Indices factsheet, 30 Sep 2026
Nifty 200 TRI, CAGR since January 2004, the parent universe
NSE Indices factsheet, 30 Sep 2026
the same momentum index over the last 12 months
NSE Indices factsheet, 30 Sep 2026
Read those four numbers together and you have the whole story of factor investing. A long run premium that is real. And stretches, like the year to September 2026, when it simply does not show up. Part of the momentum index's long history is NSE's back calculation from before its launch in August 2020, so treat the early years as a model, not a track record.
The Fama-French foundation
- CAPM
One factor: the market. Riskier stocks should earn more, nothing else matters.
- Three factor model
Size and value added. Cheap and small stocks earned more than CAPM predicted.
- Momentum
Jegadeesh and Titman: recent winners kept winning for months.
- Five factor model
Profitability and investment join. Quality gets an academic home.
- Nifty200 Momentum 30 launches
NSE factor indices make each premium something you can track, then own.
- Nifty200 Value 30 launches
The value premium gets its own large and mid cap index in India.
The five major factors
Total return CAGR, 5 years to 30 Sep 2026
- Nifty200 Value 3022.91%
- Midcap150 Momentum 5015.13%
- Nifty Alpha 5012.03%
- Nifty200 Momentum 309.28%
- Alpha Low Volatility 308.57%
- Nifty 200 (parent)8.30%
- NIFTY200 Quality 306.40%
- Nifty 506.38%
Source: NSE Indices factsheets, 30 Sep 2026, total return indices. Index history, not a promise of future returns.
Look at where quality sits. Over five years to September 2026, the factor with the best long run reputation in India barely beat the Nifty 50. Value, which had been written off for most of the 2010s, led by a wide margin. Nobody's model said that in 2021. That is the honest texture of factor investing: the premium is long run, and the run is longer than most people's patience.
Why factors persist
If factors earn excess returns, why doesn't everyone exploit them until they disappear? Three answers, and they work together:
The honest caveat: factor premia are real but not smooth. Value lagged for most of the 2010s before its run from 2021. Momentum can fall 30% or more in sharp reversals: the Nifty200 Momentum 30 did exactly that between October 2024 and October 2026. Size premia disappear in large cap bull markets. Factors need patience measured in years, which is why combining them smooths the ride. Module 3.6 shows how.
A worked example: reading a momentum score
The classic academic momentum signal is the return over the last 12 months, skipping the most recent month. Say a stock is up 40% over 12 months, and 8% of that came in the latest month. The 12 minus 1 momentum is (1.40 ÷ 1.08) minus 1, about 29.6%. Rank every stock in the universe on that number, take the top slice, and you have a momentum portfolio.
Why skip the last month? Because very short term winners tend to give a little back the next month, a reversal effect, and skipping it keeps that noise out of the score. NSE's Nifty200 Momentum 30 goes a step further: it averages 6 and 12 month returns, each divided by the stock's volatility, so a steady climber outranks a stock that got there in one wild week.
What each factor actually owns
| Index, 30 Sep 2026 | P/E | P/B | Dividend yield | Beta to Nifty 50 (5Y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 19.36 | 2.78 | 1.22% | 1.00 |
| Nifty200 Value 30 | 8.86 | 1.21 | 2.22% | 1.12 |
| NIFTY200 Quality 30 | 25.66 | 7.93 | 1.86% | 0.82 |
| Nifty200 Momentum 30 | 23.21 | 4.29 | 0.86% | 1.18 |
Source: NSE Indices factsheets, 30 Sep 2026.
The fingerprints are clear. Value buys cheap and gets paid a dividend for waiting. Quality pays up for great balance sheets and moves less than the market. Momentum owns whatever has been going up, which is why its beta is the highest and its falls the hardest.
MythOnce a factor is published, the edge is arbitraged away.
FactPremia shrink after publication but have not vanished, because they rest on behaviour and career risk. Momentum was published in 1993; NSE's momentum index still earned 18.3% a year from 2005 to 2026, back calculated years included.
Common mistakes with factors
Buying last year's best factor. That is momentum applied to factors, and it often lands you at the top of a cycle. Value looked dead in 2020. Quality looked unbeatable in 2021.
Reading a back calculated history as a track record. Most NSE factor indices launched between 2017 and 2024. Their earlier years are a model.
Quitting in year two. Every factor has multi year droughts. If you cannot hold through one, a single factor is the wrong tool for you.
Mistaking a label for a factor. A fund called "value" that holds expensive stocks is not a value strategy. Check the P/B and P/E of what it owns.
How this shows up in RupeeCase
Each RupeeCase strategy is a factor rule you can read. Most of the current lineup ranks stocks by momentum inside an NSE universe and rotates on a fixed cadence; the Allcap Multi Asset strategy adds a 10% debt and 10% gold sleeve to soften the momentum ride. The strategy pages show each rule, its universe and its model, back tested history, so you can see the factor and its bad years side by side before investing.
Which factor is best for India?
None wins every period. Over the long run momentum and value have both earned premiums in NSE data, quality has been steady, and low volatility has cut risk. The order changes every few years, which is why most systematic investors hold more than one.
Are factor index returns before launch real?
No. NSE computes them by applying today's rules to past data, which is a back test. They are useful for understanding the rule, not as proof of what an investor actually earned.
Is a smart beta fund the same as a factor strategy?
Usually yes: smart beta is the industry name for an index fund that tracks a factor index instead of a market cap index. Check which index it follows, how often it rebalances and what it costs.