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The Tanmay Edge, Season 2, EP01

Gap up into resistance

The long gamma play

Pre-market analysis for Indian markets, Monday 16 Mar 2026.

  • 7:00listen
  • Pre trailbefore the public trail
  • Mon 16 Mar 2026aired, Season 2

Now playing

Gap up into resistance

EP01, 16 Mar, 7:00

0:00Chapter marks are estimated from the notes7:00

01Scorecard

Before the public trail.

This episode aired before the public prediction trail began on 29 Apr 2026, so it carries no grade on the five call scale and is not counted in the season hit rate.

The whole season, gradedMethodology

02In this episode

6 chapters,
the numbers pulled out.

  1. 01Market overview"You don't need more information. You need the right information, here's what matters today."
  2. 02F&O positioning"Sixteen years on these desks taught me one thing, the market always telegraphs. You just have to know where
  3. 03Options & GEX analysis"That's not a prediction. That's preparation. There's a difference, and that difference is your edge."
  4. 04Commodities & FXBrent crude above $104. FIIs dumped ₹10,700 crores on Friday. And Nifty is trying to gap up 77 points this
  5. 05Sector watchCrude above $104 is a wildcard, watch Energy and Oil & Gas for relative strength.
  6. 06Trading plan & levelsMy bias: sell the gap up rally, not buy it. First half weakness, possible recovery later.
Chapter 01 of 6about 0:00

Market overview

46 ptsGIFT Nifty
23,249GIFT Nifty pts
$104Brent crude above
₹56,883 croreFIIs sold

"You don't need more information. You need the right information, here's what matters today." GIFT Nifty +46 pts at 23,249. Brent crude above $104. FIIs sold ₹56,883 crores in March alone, and in F&O, they're sitting on 2.6 lakh short index futures contracts

Read the chapter

Chapter 02 of 6about 1:29

F&O positioning

"Sixteen years on these desks taught me one thing, the market always telegraphs. You just have to know where to look." Gap up of 46 points is not a reason to go long, FII positioning says the opposite.

Read the chapter

Chapter 03 of 6about 2:28

Options & GEX analysis

24.64Expiry tomorrow, IV

"That's not a prediction. That's preparation. There's a difference, and that difference is your edge." It's expiry tomorrow, IV at 24.64 with ₹500 straddle means the market wants to move big today. 23,200 is the number. Watch it like a hawk at 9:20. Key

Read the chapter

Chapter 04 of 6about 4:08

Commodities & FX

$104Brent crude above
₹10,700 croreFIIs dumped
77 pointsTrying to gap

Brent crude above $104. FIIs dumped ₹10,700 crores on Friday. And Nifty is trying to gap up 77 points this morning. The question isn't whether we open green. The question is, can it hold? Let's find out. You're listening to The Tanmay Edge. India's pre-market

Read the chapter

Chapter 05 of 6about 5:10

Sector watch

$104Crude above

Crude above $104 is a wildcard, watch Energy and Oil & Gas for relative strength.

Read the chapter

Chapter 06 of 6about 6:14

Trading plan & levels

My bias: sell the gap up rally, not buy it. First half weakness, possible recovery later. Gap up open, but can it hold?

Read the chapter

03The notes

Chapter by chapter.

01Market overview

"You don't need more information. You need the right information, here's what matters today."

GIFT Nifty +46 pts at 23,249. Brent crude above $104. FIIs sold ₹56,883 crores in March alone, and in F&O, they're sitting on 2.6 lakh short index futures contracts while clients are positioned completely long. Tomorrow is expiry. IV is elevated at 24.64 with ₹500 straddles. The market wants to move.

02F&O positioning

"Sixteen years on these desks taught me one thing, the market always telegraphs. You just have to know where to look."

Gap up of 46 points is not a reason to go long, FII positioning says the opposite.

03Options & GEX analysis

"That's not a prediction. That's preparation. There's a difference, and that difference is your edge."

It's expiry tomorrow, IV at 24.64 with ₹500 straddle means the market wants to move big today.

23,200 is the number. Watch it like a hawk at 9:20.

Key levels: 23,200 gamma flip. Below, 23,000 and 22,800. Above, 23,400 and 23,500 major wall. One standard deviation range: 22,564 to 23,800. Today's read: sell the gap, not buy it. Weakness in first half, possible recovery later. Sectors with relative strength: Energy, Pharma, FMCG. Avoid: Auto, Finance, IT.

04Commodities & FX

Brent crude above $104. FIIs dumped ₹10,700 crores on Friday. And Nifty is trying to gap up 77 points this morning.

The question isn't whether we open green. The question is, can it hold?

Let's find out. You're listening to The Tanmay Edge.

India's pre-market edge. Five minutes. Every trading day. I'm Tanmay Kurtkoti, and this is Season 2, Episode 1. New format. Cleaner. Sharper. Let's go.

05Sector watch

Crude above $104 is a wildcard, watch Energy and Oil & Gas for relative strength.

06Trading plan & levels

My bias: sell the gap up rally, not buy it. First half weakness, possible recovery later.

Gap up open, but can it hold?

05In his words

You don't need more information. You need the right information, here's what matters today.

Sixteen years on these desks taught me one thing, the market always telegraphs. You just have to know where to look.

That's not a prediction. That's preparation. There's a difference, and that difference is your edge.

Questions

EP01, in plain words.

What does EP01 of The Tanmay Edge cover?

EP01, Monday 16 Mar 2026, 7:00, in 6 chapters: Market overview; F&O positioning; Options & GEX analysis; Commodities & FX; Sector watch; Trading plan & levels.

How did the calls in EP01 score?

It aired before the public prediction trail began on 29 Apr 2026, so it is not graded on the five call scale and not counted in the season hit rate.

Is The Tanmay Edge investment advice?

No. It is market commentary for education only, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. RupeeCase is not a SEBI registered investment adviser, and strategy figures on RupeeCase are model, back tested.

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Market commentary for education only. Not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. RupeeCase is not a SEBI registered investment adviser. Strategy figures are model, back tested.