---
title: "Prediction Track Record | Tanmay Edge Scorecard | RupeeCase"
description: "Public scorecard of Tanmay Edge predictions, each graded against NSE data. Hits, partials and misses for every episode, with the grading method published."
source_url: "https://www.rupeecase.com/track-record"
---

**70%**Hit rateon 45 graded calls

          18 model curves, monthly since Jan 2021, log scale. Model, back tested, as of 27 Apr 2026. Dashed: Nifty 50 TRI, drawn at its CAGR.

          Verifiable track record

# Every line. Every grade.
In public.

          The public track record: every strategy's model history, every rebalance on its date, and every Tanmay Edge podcast call graded against NSE data.

            * **18**strategies, model record

            * **70%**podcast hit rate, last 10 episodes

            * **Every rebalance**published and dated

            See the record
            See every grade

          01The Tanmay Edge

## Five calls.
Locked before
the open.

          Season 2, 16 Mar to 16 Sep 2026: each episode locked levels, expiry pins, IV moves and chain flips before the open, graded after the close. The record stays, with its dates.

          **45**calls graded against the NSE close and BhavCopy, misses included

        02The wall

## Eighteen strategies.
One wall.

        Every model curve on one log scale, from the same files the strategy pages publish. Sort by CAGR, Sharpe or the worst drawdown; hover a card to light its line.

          * **18**strategies

          * **67**month ends, since Jan 2021

          * **4**rotations replayed below

        03Curves

## Three curves.
Read them closely.

          1. **03**The broad marketAllcap, 50 stocks from the Nifty Total Market.

          2. **03**The broad marketAllcap, 50 stocks from the Nifty Total Market.

          3. **03**The broad marketAllcap, 50 stocks from the Nifty Total Market.

        04Rotations

## In, out
and held.

        Four model portfolios replay their last six rebalances from the published record: what entered, what exited and what stayed, on the date it happened.

        05The prediction trail

## Every call.
Graded in public.

            **70%**on 45 graded calls

          Σ scores*÷*Σ calls*=***31.5 ÷ 45 = 70%**

          Episodes graded**9**last 10 trail

          Points**31.5**a hit counts one, a partial half

          Partials**6**6 of 45 calls, half a point each

          Misses**13**13 of 45 calls, wrong, on record

          1. Published**Score, out of 5**

          2. Published**Score, out of 5**

          3. Published**Score, out of 5**

          4. Published**Score, out of 5**

        **Hit** printed exactly as stated. **Partial** right direction, missed size or timing. **Miss** failed. **Mechanic fired** the option setup paid on a different path, counted separately. Episodes awaiting a grade are left out.

          06The trail

## Episode by episode.

        Updated 16 Sep 2026 from /data/podcast-prediction-trail.json

      [Play today's episode](/podcast/)[The trail as JSON](/data/podcast-prediction-trail.json)

        07Questions

## Scorecard
questions.

        What is the RupeeCase prediction scorecard?A public table of recent predictions from The Tanmay Edge podcast, with the grade each one earned. Through Season 2 (16 Mar to 16 Sep 2026) each episode locked five specific predictions on Indian markets before the open, and the set was read only after the open bell. The season has ended; the record stays as published, with its dates, and the data is published as JSON.

        How is a prediction graded?Each call is checked against the official NSE close and BhavCopy data. A hit printed exactly as stated. A partial was directionally right but missed magnitude or timing. A miss failed. If the option setup paid out on a different spot path, it is counted separately as mechanic fired.

        How is the hit rate computed?Each graded episode gets a score such as 4/5 or 4.5/5. The hit rate is the sum of those scores divided by the total number of graded calls. Episodes still awaiting a grade are left out. The Points card shows the sum.

        Are the strategy curves real returns?No. Every curve, CAGR and drawdown on this page is a model, back tested figure with its as of date, shown after charges. It is not a client's actual return and not a promise of future returns. The benchmark line is drawn at the Nifty 50 TRI CAGR. How to read a back test: [index investing, explained](/index-investing).

    Explore next

## Where to go next.

* [PodcastSeason 2, every episodeThe full archive, graded](/podcast/season-2/)
* [RebalancesEvery published rebalanceEach list, every name in and out](/rebalance/)
* [Free module 2.4How Backtesting Works8 min read](/learn/path-2/module-2-4-how-backtesting-works)
* [AboutAbout Tanmay Kurtkoti and RupeeCaseThe founder, the firm and the record](/about)

## Validate first.
Then invest.

        [Sign up for RupeeCase](https://invest.rupeecase.com/signup)
        [See every strategy](/strategies/)