--- title: "24,000 Support, 24,200 Resistance. The | The Tanmay Edge" description: "Thursday closed green | and gave back 205 points from its high. The rallyhit resistance and got sold back to flat. Then three days shut for Muharram." source_url: "https://www.rupeecase.com/podcast/episodes/2026-06-29" --- The Tanmay Edge, Season 2, EP69 # 24,000 support, 24,200 resistance. The pros just bought volatility. Monthly expiry tomorrow Nifty 24,056.00 plus 34 plus 0.14 percent * **10:33**listen * **3/8**graded at settlement * **Mon 29 Jun 2026**aired, Season 2 Now playing 24,000 support, 24,200 resistance. The pros just bought volatility. Monthly expiry tomorrow EP69, 29 Jun, 10:33 1x 0:00Chapter marks are estimated from the notes10:33 The host did not serve the audio here. Listen on [Apple Podcasts](https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-tanmay-edge-indias-pre-market-edge-5-minutes/id1824088016) or [Spotify](https://open.spotify.com/show/0F755kaD5hggGDjy26Sz33). 01Scorecard ## 3/8 at settlement. **3/8**38% **The call.** Monthly Expiry Eve Pros Long Volatility 24,000 Floor 24,200 Ceiling * **3**Hit * **3**Partial * **0**Mechanical * **2**Miss Graded the next trading day, 30 Jun 2026, against NSE settlement. 1. **Miss**the pro long vol range expansion beyond 275 points, the pro desk held the long vol book but realized range was only 206 points inside the band so the optionality bled. Three hits three partials two misses, direction was roughly right but the levels and magnitude were wrong as the called buy the dip at 24,000 core broke. 2. **Miss**the pro long vol range expansion beyond 275 points, the pro desk held the long vol book but realized range was only 206 points inside the band so the optionality bled. Three hits three partials two misses, direction was roughly right but the levels and magnitude were wrong as the called buy the dip at 24,000 core broke. 3. **Miss**the pro long vol range expansion beyond 275 points, the pro desk held the long vol book but realized range was only 206 points inside the band so the optionality bled. Three hits three partials two misses, direction was roughly right but the levels and magnitude were wrong as the called buy the dip at 24,000 core broke. 4. **Miss**the pro long vol range expansion beyond 275 points, the pro desk held the long vol book but realized range was only 206 points inside the band so the optionality bled. Three hits three partials two misses, direction was roughly right but the levels and magnitude were wrong as the called buy the dip at 24,000 core broke. 5. **Miss**the pro long vol range expansion beyond 275 points, the pro desk held the long vol book but realized range was only 206 points inside the band so the optionality bled. Three hits three partials two misses, direction was roughly right but the levels and magnitude were wrong as the called buy the dip at 24,000 core broke. 6. **Miss**the pro long vol range expansion beyond 275 points, the pro desk held the long vol book but realized range was only 206 points inside the band so the optionality bled. Three hits three partials two misses, direction was roughly right but the levels and magnitude were wrong as the called buy the dip at 24,000 core broke. 7. **Miss**the pro long vol range expansion beyond 275 points, the pro desk held the long vol book but realized range was only 206 points inside the band so the optionality bled. Three hits three partials two misses, direction was roughly right but the levels and magnitude were wrong as the called buy the dip at 24,000 core broke. 8. **Miss**the pro long vol range expansion beyond 275 points, the pro desk held the long vol book but realized range was only 206 points inside the band so the optionality bled. Three hits three partials two misses, direction was roughly right but the levels and magnitude were wrong as the called buy the dip at 24,000 core broke. [The whole season, graded](/podcast/#trail)[June 2026 archive](/podcast/2026-06/)[Methodology](/track-record) 02In this episode ## 8 chapters, the numbers pulled out. 1. **08**The plan: buy the dip, own the optionalityHere is how I am playing it, and the bias has not changed. Buy the dips. Support is 24,000, where the put 2. **08**The plan: buy the dip, own the optionalityHere is how I am playing it, and the bias has not changed. Buy the dips. Support is 24,000, where the put 3. **08**The plan: buy the dip, own the optionalityHere is how I am playing it, and the bias has not changed. Buy the dips. Support is 24,000, where the put 4. **08**The plan: buy the dip, own the optionalityHere is how I am playing it, and the bias has not changed. Buy the dips. Support is 24,000, where the put 5. **08**The plan: buy the dip, own the optionalityHere is how I am playing it, and the bias has not changed. Buy the dips. Support is 24,000, where the put 6. **08**The plan: buy the dip, own the optionalityHere is how I am playing it, and the bias has not changed. Buy the dips. Support is 24,000, where the put 7. **08**The plan: buy the dip, own the optionalityHere is how I am playing it, and the bias has not changed. Buy the dips. Support is 24,000, where the put 8. **08**The plan: buy the dip, own the optionalityHere is how I am playing it, and the bias has not changed. Buy the dips. Support is 24,000, where the put Cold open: green was a costume **34 points**Nifty finished **24,261**Nifty touched **200 points**Gave back more **77,803**All the way Thursday closed green. And green is a costume. Nifty finished up 34 points, Sensex up 109. On paper, a quiet up day before the long weekend. But pull the chart and look at where they had been. Nifty touched 24,261 and gave back more than 200 points into the Read the chapter The fade: a long upper wick and a split tape **77,100**Nifty Sensex **24,261**Nifty printed **205 points**Nifty printed and finished **2.25 percent**Auto index Start with the tape. Nifty 24,056, Sensex 77,100, both up about a tenth of a percent. But the story is not the close. It is the distance between the close and the high. Nifty printed 24,261 and finished 205 points below it. That long upper wick is the Read the chapter The flows: a domestic bid under a foreign cap **384 crore**Positive on cash **1,800**Crore provisional **5,748**Domestic institutions bought **2,29,053**Short came Who is moving this market? NSE and NSDL numbers, nobody else. For the first time in a stretch, the foreigners bought, net positive on cash, about 384 crore provisional, near 1,800 crore on the NSDL custodial route. Small, but a reversal. The domestic Read the chapter The options book: pros long both wings, crowd short puts **1,14,399**Call side, net long **1,14,140**Changed, net long **39,125**Net short puts **1,50,000**Swung more The real tell on Thursday was in the options book, the index option open interest by participant, in the order that matters. Pros first, then foreigners, then the client. The Pro desk. On the call side, net long 1,14,399 contracts. On the put side, and this is Read the chapter The levels: a clean range and a cheap volatility **1.25**Entire board **24,039**Thursday, the low **1.03**Interest near the money **40 lakh**Writers added Now the 30 June monthly chain at Thursday's official close. Support first. The 24,000 put is the single biggest position on the entire board, 1.25 crore contracts, and it grew. That is the level that held every minute of Thursday, the low was 24,039, and it is Read the chapter The education: reading the volatility cycle Write this one down. Most people read the option chain for direction, where is support, where is resistance. But the chain also tells you where volatility is going, if you read who is on each side. When the pros go long both wings, they are saying the move is underpriced. They do not care which way, they think it moves. When the crowd sells puts into that, they are saying it stays calm. Both cannot be right, and the Read the chapter The macro: a wobbling Wall Street as the fuse **94.40**Rupee is steady One more layer, because we walk in cold off a long weekend. Wall Street closed lower Friday, its fifth straight down day, the big tech and AI names wobbling. Europe was red, Asia this morning is split, and the gift nifty is basically flat. No global shove at Read the chapter The plan: buy the dip, own the optionality **24,200**Break and hold above **24,300**Squeeze toward **24,500**Squeeze toward **23,800**Air pocket opens Here is how I am playing it, and the bias has not changed. Buy the dips. Support is 24,000, where the put writers are sitting, where Thursday's low held, and that is where you buy, with a stop on a closing break below it. The pin is 24,100. Resistance is Read the chapter 03The notes ## Chapter by chapter. ### *01*Cold open: green was a costume Thursday closed green. And green is a costume. Nifty finished up 34 points, Sensex up 109. On paper, a quiet up day before the long weekend. But pull the chart and look at where they had been. Nifty touched 24,261 and gave back more than 200 points into the close. Sensex ran all the way to 77,803 and surrendered 700 of them. The index did not drift higher and rest. It rallied, hit resistance, and got sold back to flat. And underneath that flat close, the professional desks did something they had not done all week. They went and bought volatility. While the crowd sold insurance into the calm, the pros quietly bought both sides of the move. We walk in today off a three day weekend, into the eve of the monthly expiry, with the lowest volatility reading in weeks and the smart money positioned for it to wake up. ### *02*The fade: a long upper wick and a split tape Start with the tape. Nifty 24,056, Sensex 77,100, both up about a tenth of a percent. But the story is not the close. It is the distance between the close and the high. Nifty printed 24,261 and finished 205 points below it. That long upper wick is the signature of a session that ran into a seller and could not get past him. Under the surface it was a split tape. The autos carried the day, the auto index up 2.25 percent, M and M up almost 4, Maruti up 3.7, Indigo up 4.7. But IT was down, metals were the worst sector, and Power Grid lost over 2 percent. Twenty five Nifty stocks up, 25 down, dead even breadth on a green headline. A rally with no broad participation and a rejected high is resistance being defended in real time. Then Friday the market was shut for Muharram. So that rejected high has been sitting there, untouched, for three days. Today we find out whether anyone wants to attack it again. ### *03*The flows: a domestic bid under a foreign cap Who is moving this market? NSE and NSDL numbers, nobody else. For the first time in a stretch, the foreigners bought, net positive on cash, about 384 crore provisional, near 1,800 crore on the NSDL custodial route. Small, but a reversal. The domestic institutions bought 5,748 crore, the second enormous DII day in a row. This market is carried on the back of domestic money. In the futures, the foreigners lightened up too. Their net index short came down from 2,29,053 contracts to 2,23,809, covering about 5,000. But hold the scale. They are still short 2,23,809. Eased off the gas, did not turn the car around. For the year, the foreigners are out about 66,000 crore and the domestics are in about 92,900. A domestic bid underneath, a foreign cap on top. That is the whole market right now. ### *04*The options book: pros long both wings, crowd short puts The real tell on Thursday was in the options book, the index option open interest by participant, in the order that matters. Pros first, then foreigners, then the client. The Pro desk. On the call side, net long 1,14,399 contracts. On the put side, and this is the number that changed, net long 1,14,140. The day before the pros were net short puts by 39,125. In one session they swung more than 1,50,000 contracts to the long put side. So the pros are now long calls and long puts. When a desk is long both wings, it is not a directional bet. It is buying volatility, paying for a move in either direction into the monthly expiry. The foreigners are still defensive, net short calls 2,59,912 but covering about 31,000 of them, net long puts 5,96,646 trimmed slightly. Short calls, long puts, a notch lighter. Protecting a long stock book, not calling a crash. The client, the retail crowd, net long calls 1,39,519, but net short puts 7,30,899, and they deepened that short by almost 1,50,000 contracts. Selling a put is a bet the market stays calm, a short volatility bet. So read the whole board. The pros are buying volatility, and the crowd is selling it to them, at the lowest volatility reading in weeks. ### *05*The levels: a clean range and a cheap volatility Now the 30 June monthly chain at Thursday's official close. Support first. The 24,000 put is the single biggest position on the entire board, 1.25 crore contracts, and it grew. That is the level that held every minute of Thursday, the low was 24,039, and it is still the heaviest line out there. That is your support, and it is where you buy. Resistance. The 24,200 call is the biggest open interest near the money, 1.03 crore contracts, and the writers added 40 lakh fresh contracts there into Thursday's fade. On the exact day the index poked to 24,261 and got sold, they stacked the 24,200 call. Max pain sits at 24,100. So the range is clean, support 24,000, pin 24,100, resistance 24,200. Now the volatility, because this is the part that flips the trade. India VIX closed at 13.05, a multi week low. The front month at the money implied volatility is near 9 percent while the next two expiries are at 10.8 and 12. The near term vol is the cheapest on the curve. The straddle for tomorrow's expiry is about 225 points, a one standard deviation move near 275, roughly 23,780 to 24,330. Volatility this cheap, a range this coiled, the pros freshly long both wings, and a monthly expiry tomorrow, that is not the setup for more compression. That is the setup for an expansion. ### *06*The education: reading the volatility cycle Write this one down. Most people read the option chain for direction, where is support, where is resistance. But the chain also tells you where volatility is going, if you read who is on each side. When the pros go long both wings, they are saying the move is underpriced. They do not care which way, they think it moves. When the crowd sells puts into that, they are saying it stays calm. Both cannot be right, and the tiebreaker is the price of volatility itself. When implied vol is at a multi week low, the option is cheap, the downside is the small premium, the upside if volatility expands is multiples of it. So do not just ask where the levels are. Ask whether volatility is cheap or expensive, and which desk is buying it. On Thursday it was cheap, and the pros were buying. That tells you to own the move, buy your dips with optionality underneath you, and stop selling premium into a coil the smart money is betting breaks. ### *07*The macro: a wobbling Wall Street as the fuse One more layer, because we walk in cold off a long weekend. Wall Street closed lower Friday, its fifth straight down day, the big tech and AI names wobbling. Europe was red, Asia this morning is split, and the gift nifty is basically flat. No global shove at the open, but a wobbling Wall Street is exactly the kind of fuse that lights the volatility the pros just bought. The one clean tailwind is crude, near 70 dollars and still close to multi month lows, the import relief India wants. The rupee is steady at 94.40. A friendly crude backdrop, a soft global tape, and a market coiled at the lows of its own volatility. ### *08*The plan: buy the dip, own the optionality Here is how I am playing it, and the bias has not changed. Buy the dips. Support is 24,000, where the put writers are sitting, where Thursday's low held, and that is where you buy, with a stop on a closing break below it. The pin is 24,100. Resistance is 24,200, and the way the writers defend it tells you whether the next leg is up. Break and hold above 24,200 and the short calls have to cover, and that is the squeeze toward 24,300, then 24,500. Lose 24,000 on a closing basis and the dip buy is wrong, the air pocket opens to 23,800, and that is where your long puts earn their keep. But the structure of the trade is the optionality. Vol is at a multi week low, the pros just bought both wings, and we are coiled into a monthly expiry. I would rather own a cheap call on the dip than sell a straddle into the pin. If the range breaks, the move is worth multiples of what the option costs today. 24,000 is support. 24,200 is resistance. The pros just bought volatility at the lows. Watch 24,200 for the break and 24,000 for the dip, and either way, you will see it before the chart does. That is the tape behind the chart you got earlier. 04Key takeaways ## 20 things to carry into the session. * *01*Nifty 24,056.00 plus 34 plus 0.14 percent * *02*Sensex 77,100.47 plus 109 plus 0.14 percent * *03*Nifty high 24,261 closed 205 below it a long upper wick * *04*Sensex high 77,803 surrendered 700 into the close * *05*Auto index plus 2.25 percent Maruti plus 3.7 Indigo plus 4.7 * *06*IT down metals worst Power Grid minus 2 percent breadth 25 up 25 down * *07*FII cash plus 384 crore provisional near 1800 crore NSDL custodial * *08*DII plus 5748 crore the second big day in a row * *09*FII index futures short 2,29,053 to 2,23,809 covered about 5000 * *10*For the year FII out about 66,000 crore DII in about 92,900 crore * *11*Pro calls net long 1,14,399 puts net long 1,14,140 from short 39,125 * *12*Pros long both wings buying volatility into the monthly expiry * *13*FII short calls 2,59,912 covered 31,000 long puts 5,96,646 trimmed * *14*Client long calls 1,39,519 short puts 7,30,899 deepened almost 1,50,000 * *15*Support 24,000 put 1.25 crore the biggest line low held 24,039 * *16*Resistance 24,200 call 1.03 crore writers added 40 lakh fresh * *17*Max pain 24,100 range support 24,000 pin 24,100 resistance 24,200 * *18*India VIX 13.05 a multi week low front ATM IV near 9 percent * *19*Term structure 9 then 10.8 then 12 near term vol cheapest * *20*ATM straddle about 225 one SD about 275 band 23,780 to 24,330 Show all 20 05In his words Thursday closed green. And green is a costume. When a desk is long both wings, it is not a directional bet. It is buying volatility. The pros are buying volatility, and the crowd is selling it to them, at the lowest volatility reading in weeks. 06Transcript ## The full episode, in text. Read the transcript Reading mode Copy link 1,499 words, about 7 min to read Very good morning, guys. Thursday closed green. Nifty finished up 34 points on Thursday, Sensex was up by 109 points. On paper, a quiet day before the long weekend. But pull the chart and look at where they had been. Nifty touched a high of 24,261 and then gave back almost 200 points into the close. And Sensex was a completely different story. The expiry was crazy, ran all the way till 77,803 and surrendered back 700 points. The index didn't drift higher and rest. It rallied, hit that resistance, and got sold back to flat. And underneath that flat close, the pros did something they hadn't done all week. They went and bought volatility. While the crowd was selling insurance into the calm, the pros were quietly buying both sides of the move. Today we have come back from a three day weekend into the eve of the monthly expiry that is going to happen tomorrow, with the lowest volatility reading in weeks and the smart money positioned for it to wake up. This is The Tanmay Edge. You are listening to episode 69. I am Tanmay Kurthakoti. Let's go. Starting with the tape. Nifty 24,056, Sensex 77,100, both up about a tenth of a percent. But the story isn't the close. It's the distance between the close and the high that happened on Thursday. Nifty printed 24,261 and finished 205 points below it. That long upper wick is the signature of a session that ran into a seller and couldn't get past him. Under the surface, it was a split tape. The autos carried the day. 7 percent. But IT was down, metals were the worst sector, and Power Grid lost almost 2 percent. 25 Nifty stocks up, 25 down. Dead even breadth on a green headline. A rally with no broad participation and a rejected high is resistance being defended in real time. And then Friday the market was shut due to Muharram, so that rejected high has been sitting there untouched for three days. Today we find out whether anyone wants to attack it again or not. Now, who is moving this market? NSE and NSDL numbers, nobody else. For the first time in a stretch, the FIIs bought net positive on cash, about 384 crore provisional, near 1,800 crore on the custodial route. Small, but a reversal. The domestic institutions bought 5,748 crore, the second enormous DII day in a row. This market is carried on the back of domestic money. In the futures, the FIIs lightened up too. Their net index short came from 2,29,053 contracts to 2,23,809, covering about just 5,000 contracts. But hold the scale, they are still short like 2,23,000 contracts. Eased off the gas, didn't turn the car around. For the year, the FIIs are out about 66,000 crore, and the domestics have already brought in around 93,000 crore. A domestic bid underneath, a foreign cap on the top. That is the whole market right now. But cash and futures are the headline. The real tell on Thursday was in the options book, the index option open interest by participant, in the order that matters, pros first, then the foreigners, then the client. We are looking into the Pro desk. On the call side, net long 1,14,399 contracts. On the put side, and this is the number that changed, net long 1,14,140. The day before, the pros were net short puts by 39,125. In one session they swung more than 1,50,000 contracts to the long put side. So the pros are now long calls and long puts. Understand that when a desk is long both wings, they are not making a directional bet. They are buying volatility. They are paying for a move in either direction into the monthly expiry. The FII is net short two lakh sixty thousand, but they covered about 31,000 of those call shorts from the day before, and net long puts of around 5,96,646, trimmed slightly. So the FII book is still defensive, short calls, long puts, but a notch lighter than it was. They are protecting a long stock book, not calling a crash. And the client, the retail crowd, net long calls 1,39,519, but on the put side they are net short 7,30,000 contracts, and they deepened that short by almost 1,50,000 contracts on Thursday. The crowd is selling puts hand over fist. Selling a put is a bet that the market stays calm or goes up. It is a short volatility bet. So read the whole board. The pros are buying volatility and the crowd is selling it to them, and at the lowest volatility reading in weeks. When smart money and the crowd take opposite sides of the volatility trade that cleanly, I want to be standing with the pros. And I am not standing with the crowd. Now the 30th June monthly chain at Thursday's official close, and this is where the day lives. Support first. 25 crore contracts of open interest, and it grew. That level held every minute on Thursday, the low was 24,039, and it still is the heaviest line out there. That is your support, and it is where you buy. Resistance. 03 crore contracts, and the writer added almost 40 lakh fresh contracts there into Thursday's fade. On the exact day the index poked to 24,261 and got sold, they stacked the 24,200 call. Max pain sits at 24,100, right where we are trading. So the range is extremely clean. Support at 24,000, pin at 24,100, resistance at 24,200. Now the volatility, because this is the part that flips the trade. 05, a multi week low. 8 and 12 percent. The near term vol is the cheapest on the curve. The at the money straddle for tomorrow's expiry is about 225 points, which puts the one standard deviation move near 275 points, roughly 23,780 on the downside and 24,330 on the upside. Remember these levels, 23,780 on the downside, 24,330 on the upside. That is the band the options are pricing. And here is the read, guys. Volatility this shape, a range this coiled, the pros freshly long both wings, and a monthly expiry tomorrow, that is not a setup for more compression. That is a setup for an expansion. The conventional take says expiry week crushes volatility and you sell the straddle. While I am telling you the opposite this time. The volatility is already on the floor, the smart money is buying it, and cheap optionality into a coiled monthly expiry is the trade you own, not the one you sell. Write this down, guys. And so one more layer, because we walk in cold off a long weekend. Wall Street closed lower on Friday, its fifth straight down day, the big tech and AI names wobbling. Europe was red, Asia this morning is split, and the gift nifty is basically flat right now. So no global shove at the open. But a wobbling Wall Street is exactly the kind of fuse that lights the volatility the pros just bought. The one clean tailwind is crude near 70 dollars and still close to the multi month lows, the import relief India wants. 40. A friendly crude backdrop, a soft global tape, and a market coiled at the lows of its volatility. So here is how I am playing it, and the bias has not changed, buy the dips. Support is at 24,000. That is where the put writers are sitting, that is where Thursday's low held, and that is where you buy, with a stop on the closing break below it. The pin is at 24,100. Resistance is at 24,200, and the way the writers defend it tells you whether the next leg is up. Break it and hold above 24,200 and the short calls have to cover, and that is the squeeze towards 24,300 and then 24,500. Lose 24,000 on a closing basis and the buy the dip is wrong, the air pocket opens directly towards 23,800, and that is where your long puts earn their keep. But the structure of the trade is optionality. Vol is at a multi week low, the pros just bought both wings, and we are coiled into a monthly expiry. So I would rather own a cheap call on the dip than sell a straddle into the pin. If the range breaks, the move is worth multiples of what the option costs today. Buy the dip, own the optionality, let the expansion pay. Don't sell the cheap premium into a coil the pros are loading up against. 24,000 is the support. 24,200 is the resistance. The pros just bought volatility at the lows. Watch 24,200 for the break and 24,000 for the dip, and either way, you will see it before the chart does. That is the tape behind the chart, guys. You just got it earlier. This was The Tanmay Edge, and see you all once again tomorrow. Have a happy week. Happy Monday. Questions ## EP69, in plain words. What does EP69 of The Tanmay Edge cover?EP69, Monday 29 Jun 2026, 10:33, in 8 chapters: Cold open: green was a costume; The fade: a long upper wick and a split tape; The flows: a domestic bid under a foreign cap; The options book: pros long both wings, crowd short puts; The levels: a clean range and a cheap volatility; The education: reading the volatility cycle; The macro: a wobbling Wall Street as the fuse; The plan: buy the dip, own the optionality. How did the calls in EP69 score?Grade 3/8 (38 percent): 3 hit, 3 partial, 0 mechanical, 2 miss. Graded the next trading day, 30 Jun 2026, against NSE settlement. Is The Tanmay Edge investment advice?No. It is market commentary for education only, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. RupeeCase is not a SEBI registered investment adviser, and strategy figures on RupeeCase are model, back tested. 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