--- title: "Weekly Expiry: 24,000 Floor, 24,200 | The Tanmay Edge" description: "Monday's gap-up did half its job. The Nifty held the 24,000 floor, closed up 0.37% at 24,102.90, and the IT wreck from Friday reversed clean | Tech Mahindra" source_url: "https://www.rupeecase.com/podcast/episodes/2026-06-23" --- The Tanmay Edge, Season 2, EP66 # Weekly expiry: 24,000 floor, 24,200 ceiling, max pain 24,100 Nifty 24,102.90 plus 89.80 plus 0.37 percent held 24,000 stalled at 24,200 * **12:35**listen * **3/8**graded at settlement * **Tue 23 Jun 2026**aired, Season 2 Now playing Weekly expiry: 24,000 floor, 24,200 ceiling, max pain 24,100 EP66, 23 Jun, 12:35 1x 0:00Chapter marks are estimated from the notes12:35 The host did not serve the audio here. Listen on [Apple Podcasts](https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-tanmay-edge-indias-pre-market-edge-5-minutes/id1824088016) or [Spotify](https://open.spotify.com/show/0F755kaD5hggGDjy26Sz33). 01Scorecard ## 3/8 at settlement. **3/8**38% **The call.** Nifty Weekly Expiry Pin 24,000 Floor 24,200 Ceiling * **3**Hit * **1**Partial * **0**Mechanical * **4**Miss Graded the next trading day, 24 Jun 2026, against NSE settlement. 1. **Miss**the faint upward tilt from positioning, the tape fell hard on a global risk off. The 24,200 ceiling and the reclaim leg never came into play. Three hits, one partial, four misses, the pin thesis broke when the floor cracked though the break calls landed. Aired three out of eight. 2. **Miss**the faint upward tilt from positioning, the tape fell hard on a global risk off. The 24,200 ceiling and the reclaim leg never came into play. Three hits, one partial, four misses, the pin thesis broke when the floor cracked though the break calls landed. Aired three out of eight. 3. **Miss**the faint upward tilt from positioning, the tape fell hard on a global risk off. The 24,200 ceiling and the reclaim leg never came into play. Three hits, one partial, four misses, the pin thesis broke when the floor cracked though the break calls landed. Aired three out of eight. 4. **Miss**the faint upward tilt from positioning, the tape fell hard on a global risk off. The 24,200 ceiling and the reclaim leg never came into play. Three hits, one partial, four misses, the pin thesis broke when the floor cracked though the break calls landed. Aired three out of eight. 5. **Miss**the faint upward tilt from positioning, the tape fell hard on a global risk off. The 24,200 ceiling and the reclaim leg never came into play. Three hits, one partial, four misses, the pin thesis broke when the floor cracked though the break calls landed. Aired three out of eight. 6. **Miss**the faint upward tilt from positioning, the tape fell hard on a global risk off. The 24,200 ceiling and the reclaim leg never came into play. Three hits, one partial, four misses, the pin thesis broke when the floor cracked though the break calls landed. Aired three out of eight. 7. **Miss**the faint upward tilt from positioning, the tape fell hard on a global risk off. The 24,200 ceiling and the reclaim leg never came into play. Three hits, one partial, four misses, the pin thesis broke when the floor cracked though the break calls landed. Aired three out of eight. 8. **Miss**the faint upward tilt from positioning, the tape fell hard on a global risk off. The 24,200 ceiling and the reclaim leg never came into play. Three hits, one partial, four misses, the pin thesis broke when the floor cracked though the break calls landed. Aired three out of eight. [The whole season, graded](/podcast/#trail)[June 2026 archive](/podcast/2026-06/)[Methodology](/track-record) 02In this episode ## 8 chapters, the numbers pulled out. 1. **08**The plan and the grade: trade the edges, buyGlobally there is no help and no real threat. America's tech heavy index slipped about one and a third percent 2. **08**The plan and the grade: trade the edges, buyGlobally there is no help and no real threat. America's tech heavy index slipped about one and a third percent 3. **08**The plan and the grade: trade the edges, buyGlobally there is no help and no real threat. America's tech heavy index slipped about one and a third percent 4. **08**The plan and the grade: trade the edges, buyGlobally there is no help and no real threat. America's tech heavy index slipped about one and a third percent 5. **08**The plan and the grade: trade the edges, buyGlobally there is no help and no real threat. America's tech heavy index slipped about one and a third percent 6. **08**The plan and the grade: trade the edges, buyGlobally there is no help and no real threat. America's tech heavy index slipped about one and a third percent 7. **08**The plan and the grade: trade the edges, buyGlobally there is no help and no real threat. America's tech heavy index slipped about one and a third percent 8. **08**The plan and the grade: trade the edges, buyGlobally there is no help and no real threat. America's tech heavy index slipped about one and a third percent Cold open: yesterday's gap up held the floor but stalled at the ceiling **24,107**Nifty opened higher **24,000**Went back to test **24,103**Closed green **24,200**Within thirty points A very good morning, guys. Yesterday the gap up did exactly half of what it promised. It held. The Nifty opened higher near 24,107, never once went back to test 24,000, and closed green at 24,103. The floor was never in question. But look at the other half. It Read the chapter The tape: a 95 point range and a clean sector rotation **24,103**Nifty closed Monday **90 points**Closed Monday **24,107**Range all session, opening **24,168**All session, opening high The Nifty closed Monday at 24,103, up 90 points, a third of a percent, and it did it inside a 95 point range all session, opening 24,107, high 24,168, low 24,073. The Sensex added 291 to close at 77,094. The sector story flipped from Friday in the best Read the chapter The flows: foreigners sold cash, domestics held the tape **636 crore**Cash market, net **1,000**Funds, buying Under the surface, one thing to flag. On Monday the foreign desk went back to selling our cash market, a net 636 crore on the combined tally, and it was the domestic funds, buying just over 1,000 crore, that held the tape up. Remember Friday the roles were Read the chapter Positioning: pros flipped long, foreigners trimmed shorts **1,200**Long on Monday **2.23**Short the index **3,600**Covered little **1.54**Net long In the usual order, the professionals first, then the foreigners, then the retail crowd, because today the order tells a small story. The professional desk just flipped. In index futures the pros went from a small net short on Friday to a small net long on Read the chapter The map: two 13 lakh walls and a max pain at 24,100 **24,000**Below us **24,200**Above us **13.3**Identical call wall **11 lakh**Evenly matched On expiry day the map is the whole game. The open interest has stacked into two giant walls, and they are almost mirror images. Below us, at 24,000, sits the single biggest line on the board, just over 13.1 lakh put contracts. That is the floor, and it is the Read the chapter The switch and the size of the day: 24,150 flip, a 129 point move **24,200**Drifts quietly toward **24,100**Below roughly **24,000**Tape toward **129 points**Money straddle There is a switch inside the room. Around 24,150 the character of the market changes. Above 24,150, the desks that sold these options are forced to trade in a way that dampens the move, it pins, it drifts quietly toward the 24,200 ceiling. Below roughly Read the chapter Education, 0DTE theta: right on direction, still lose on the clock Here is the thing about expiry day that traps people. That premium is cheap, and cheap premium is tempting to buy. But on expiry day the option you buy this morning has a deadline of 3:30 this afternoon. Every hour, time decay eats it, and on the last day that decay is brutal. You can be right on direction, buy a call, watch the index tick up, and still lose money, because the premium bled to zero faster than the Read the chapter The plan and the grade: trade the edges, buy the 24,000 dip **94.7**Rupee softened touch **24,000**Case, pin, coil between **24,200**Pin, coil between **24,100**Between and settling Globally there is no help and no real threat. America's tech heavy index slipped about one and a third percent overnight, Asia is mixed to soft. The hot Asian tailwind that gapped us up on Monday is gone, that is why GIFT Nifty is flat. Crude is still cheap Read the chapter 03The notes ## Chapter by chapter. ### *01*Cold open: yesterday's gap up held the floor but stalled at the ceiling A very good morning, guys. Yesterday the gap up did exactly half of what it promised. It held. The Nifty opened higher near 24,107, never once went back to test 24,000, and closed green at 24,103. The floor was never in question. But look at the other half. It ran up to 24,168, got within thirty points of 24,200, and then it just stopped. Faded into the close. The ceiling the sellers built on Friday held on its very first test. So here we are on Tuesday, weekly expiry day, and the market has boxed itself into the tightest room of the week. A 24,000 floor below, a 24,200 ceiling above, and the spot sitting almost dead in the middle. GIFT Nifty is flat near 24,090. No gap to trade, no momentum to chase. Just two walls and a clock. This is The Tanmay Edge. ### *02*The tape: a 95 point range and a clean sector rotation The Nifty closed Monday at 24,103, up 90 points, a third of a percent, and it did it inside a 95 point range all session, opening 24,107, high 24,168, low 24,073. The Sensex added 291 to close at 77,094. The sector story flipped from Friday in the best possible way. The technology stocks that got hammered on the Accenture scare bounced straight back, Tech Mahindra up 1.7 percent, Infosys up 1.3, the IT pocket green. Pharma led, Sun Pharma up 1.4. Reliance recovered 1.3 after its sell the news Friday. Banks were firm. What dragged instead was the consumption corner, Asian Paints down over 2 percent, Titan down 1.2, ITC and Hindustan Unilever soft. So leadership rotated. IT and financials carried, consumption sat it out. A healthy, boring, range bound day, exactly the coil the numbers drew on Friday. ### *03*The flows: foreigners sold cash, domestics held the tape Under the surface, one thing to flag. On Monday the foreign desk went back to selling our cash market, a net 636 crore on the combined tally, and it was the domestic funds, buying just over 1,000 crore, that held the tape up. Remember Friday the roles were reversed, foreigners bought, domestics sold. Two sessions, two opposite prints. That flip flop is its own signal. Nobody here has conviction. ### *04*Positioning: pros flipped long, foreigners trimmed shorts In the usual order, the professionals first, then the foreigners, then the retail crowd, because today the order tells a small story. The professional desk just flipped. In index futures the pros went from a small net short on Friday to a small net long on Monday, about 1,200 contracts, plus they are carrying long calls. Small, but it is the first desk to lean up. The foreign desk is still heavily net short the index, about 2.23 lakh contracts, but here is the change, they covered a little, about 3,600 of those shorts on Monday, while sitting on a big book of long puts and short calls. Still hedged bearish, just slightly less so. And the retail crowd is net long about 1.54 lakh futures and has sold a huge pile of puts, the most bullish leaning of the three. Pros nudging long, foreigners trimming shorts, crowd already long. A faint upward tilt, nothing more. ### *05*The map: two 13 lakh walls and a max pain at 24,100 On expiry day the map is the whole game. The open interest has stacked into two giant walls, and they are almost mirror images. Below us, at 24,000, sits the single biggest line on the board, just over 13.1 lakh put contracts. That is the floor, and it is the heaviest floor of the week. Above us, at 24,200, sits an almost identical call wall, about 13.3 lakh contracts, the ceiling, and the heaviest of the week. In between, at 24,100, calls and puts are evenly matched, about 11 lakh each. So picture it cleanly, a 13 lakh floor at 24,000, a 13 lakh ceiling at 24,200, and the spot opening right in the middle near 24,090. Two hundred points of room, walled on both sides, on the one day those walls bite hardest. And there is a number that sits on top of all of this, the max pain level. If you ask where the price would have to settle to inflict the most loss on option buyers, the answer today is 24,100. Exactly where we are. The chain is not predicting 24,100, it is pulling toward 24,100. The put call ratio is 0.87, slightly call heavy, the weight is overhead. ### *06*The switch and the size of the day: 24,150 flip, a 129 point move There is a switch inside the room. Around 24,150 the character of the market changes. Above 24,150, the desks that sold these options are forced to trade in a way that dampens the move, it pins, it drifts quietly toward the 24,200 ceiling. Below roughly 24,100, the same forces flip and start amplifying moves, pulling the tape toward the 24,000 floor. We open at 24,090, just under that switch. That is the line to watch all morning. And the size of the day, because the market quotes it. The at the money straddle is about 129 points. That is the market's own one standard deviation move for today, plus or minus 129 from 24,103, a band of roughly 23,975 to 24,230. Give it the usual buffer and you get about 23,940 to 24,265. The expected move for the whole day barely reaches the 24,200 ceiling on top and the 24,000 floor on the bottom. The walls and the math agree. India VIX is near 13, the implied volatility around 10 percent, both low. ### *07*Education, 0DTE theta: right on direction, still lose on the clock Here is the thing about expiry day that traps people. That premium is cheap, and cheap premium is tempting to buy. But on expiry day the option you buy this morning has a deadline of 3:30 this afternoon. Every hour, time decay eats it, and on the last day that decay is brutal. You can be right on direction, buy a call, watch the index tick up, and still lose money, because the premium bled to zero faster than the spot could climb. The walls tell you where the market wants to settle. The clock tells you it has to get there today, or the option buyer goes home with nothing. On expiry, time is the trade, not just direction. If you are buying naked options today, you are racing a clock that does not stop. ### *08*The plan and the grade: trade the edges, buy the 24,000 dip Globally there is no help and no real threat. America's tech heavy index slipped about one and a third percent overnight, Asia is mixed to soft. The hot Asian tailwind that gapped us up on Monday is gone, that is why GIFT Nifty is flat. Crude is still cheap, Brent under 78 dollars, the rupee softened a touch to 94.7. Nothing forces a breakout. The plan, discipline over ambition. Base case, a pin, a coil between 24,000 and 24,200 settling near 24,100. Trade the edges, not the middle. Reclaim and hold 24,150 and let it drift toward 24,200, but respect that ceiling. Lose 24,100 and the slide toward 24,000 is the trade, and 24,000 is where you buy the dip. Only a clean close below 24,000 opens 23,950 then 23,900. A pin is the base case, not a promise. Keep your size small. One last thing, episode 65 graded 5 out of 6. Every level and the band landed, only the call that IT would keep dragging missed, because IT bounced. Full scorecard on rupeecase.com. Trade the level, not the opinion. 04Key takeaways ## 20 things to carry into the session. * *01*Nifty 24,102.90 plus 89.80 plus 0.37 percent held 24,000 stalled at 24,200 * *02*Monday range just 95 points open 24,107 high 24,168 low 24,073 * *03*Sensex 77,094.07 plus 291 plus 0.38 percent * *04*IT bounced back TECHM plus 1.7 INFY plus 1.3 the IT pocket green * *05*Pharma led SUNPHARMA plus 1.4 RELIANCE plus 1.3 banks up about half a percent * *06*Consumption dragged ASIANPAINT minus 2 plus TITAN minus 1.2 ITC and HUL soft * *07*Cash flows FII minus 636 crore DII plus 1036 crore a flip from Friday * *08*Pro index futures plus 1193 flipped net long from minus 8373 plus long calls 75,810 * *09*FII index futures net short 2,22,784 covered about 3639 versus Friday * *10*FII long puts 6,46,742 short calls 2,95,482 hedged bearish * *11*Client net long futures 1,54,022 short puts 6,98,721 crowd bullish * *12*Floor 24,000 put OI 13.15M the single biggest line on the board * *13*Ceiling 24,200 call OI 13.35M the heaviest of the week * *14*ATM 24,100 balanced CE 11.12M PE 10.83M PCR 0.872 * *15*Max pain 24,100 exactly where we open * *16*Gamma flip about 24,150 pins above amplifies below * *17*ATM straddle about 129 1SD band 23,975 to 24,230 buffer 23,940 to 24,265 * *18*India VIX about 13 IV about 10.2 percent theta and IV crush regime * *19*GIFT Nifty 24,086.50 minus 13 flat open Nasdaq minus 1.32 o n Asia red * *20*Cushion Brent 77.71 WTI 73.80 Gold 4141.65 USD INR 94.68 Show all 20 05In his words No gap to trade, no momentum to chase. Just two walls and a clock. Two hundred points of room, walled on both sides, on the one day those walls bite hardest. The chain is not predicting 24,100, it is pulling toward 24,100. 06Transcript ## The full episode, in text. Read the transcript Reading mode Copy link 1,644 words, about 7 min to read A very good morning, guys. Yesterday the gap up did exactly half of what it promised. It held. The Nifty opened higher near 24,107, never once went back to test 24,000, and closed green at 24,103. The floor was never in question. But look at the other half. It ran up to 24,168, got within 30 points of 24,200, and then it just stopped. Faded into the close. The resistance the sellers built on Friday held on its very first test. So here we are on Tuesday, today is weekly expiry, and the market has boxed itself into the tightest room of the week, a 24,000 floor below, a 24,200 resistance above, and the spot sitting almost dead in the middle. This morning GIFT Nifty is flat, pointing to an open of 24,090, basically where we closed. No gap to trade, no momentum to chase, just resistance and a clock. This is The Tanmay Edge. You are listening to episode 66. I am Tanmay Kurtkoti. Let's go. Let me set the board, guys. The Nifty closed Monday at 24,103, up 90 points, one third of a percent, and it did it inside a 95 point range all session, opening 24,107, high 24,168, low 24,073. The Sensex added 291 points to close at 77,094. And the sector story flipped from Friday in the best possible way. 3 percent, the IT pocket was green. 4 percent. 3 percent after its sell the news on Friday. The banks were firm, the banking index up almost half a percent. 2 percent, ITC and Hindustan Unilever soft. So leadership rotated, IT and financials carried, consumption sat it out, a healthy boring range bound day, exactly the coil the numbers drew on Friday. Under the surface, one thing to flag, guys. Yesterday the FII desk went back to selling our cash market, a net 636 crore on the combined tally, and it was the domestic funds, buying just over a thousand crore, that held the tape up. Remember Friday the roles were reversed, FIIs bought, domestics sold. Two sessions, two opposite prints. That flip flop is its own signal, nobody here has conviction. Now the positioning, the professionals first, then the foreigners, then the retail crowd, because today the order tells a small story. The professional desk just flipped. In index futures the pros went from a small net short on Friday to a small net long on Monday, about 1,200 contracts, plus they are carrying long calls. Small, but it is the first desk to lean up. 23 lakh contracts, but here is the change, they actually covered a little, about 3,600 contracts on Monday, while sitting on a big book of long puts and short calls. So the FIIs are still hedged bearish on the index, just slightly less so. 55 lakh futures and has sold a huge pile of puts, the most bullish lean of the three. Pros nudging long, FIIs trimming shorts, crowd already long. A faint upward tilt, nothing more that I can see. Now the map, because on expiry day the map is the whole game. The open interest has stacked into two giant walls, and they are almost mirror images. 1 lakh put contracts have been sold at that strike. That is the floor, the support, and it is the heaviest floor of the week. 3 lakh contracts. That is the ceiling, and the heaviest of the week. In between, at our 24,100 level, calls and puts are evenly matched, about 11 lakh each, perfectly balanced. So picture it cleanly, a 13 lakh floor at 24,000, a 13 lakh ceiling at 24,200, and the spot opening right in the middle near 24,090. Two hundred points of room, walled on both sides, on the one day those walls bite the hardest. And there is a number that sits right on top of all this, the max pain level. If you take every option on the board and ask where the price would have to settle to inflict the most loss on option buyers, the answer today is 24,100, exactly where we are. The chain is not predicting 24,100, it is pulling towards 24,100, because that is where the people who sold these options keep the most premium. 87, slightly call heavy, the weight is overhead. There is also a switch inside the room. Around 24,150 the character of the market changes. Above 24,150, keep a watch, guys, remember this level, the desks that sold these options are forced to trade in a way that dampens moves and pins it, it drifts quietly towards that 24,200 ceiling. Below 24,100, the same forces flip and start amplifying moves, pulling the tape towards that 24,000 support. We open at 24,090, just below the gamma flip level. That is the level to watch all morning. And the size of the day, exactly because the market quotes it. The ATM straddle is about just 129 points. That is the market's own one standard deviation move for today, plus or minus 129 points from 24,103, a band roughly 23,975 on the bottom end to 24,230 on the upside. Given the usual buffer you get about 23,940 on the lowest end to 24,265 on the upper end. The expected move for the whole day barely reaches the 24,200 ceiling on the top and the 24,000 floor on the bottom. The walls and the math agree. This is built to be the range. India VIX is near 13, the implied volatility around 10 percent is extremely low. Here is the thing about expiry day that traps people, and it is worth 30 seconds. That premium is cheap. Cheap premium is tempting to buy. But on expiry day, the option you buy this morning has a deadline of 3:30 this afternoon. Every hour, every second, time decay eats it, and on the last day the decay is brutal. You can be right on direction, buy a call, watch the index tick up, and still lose money, because the premium bleeds to zero faster than the spot could climb. The walls tell you where the market wants to settle, the clock tells you it has to get there today, or the option buyer goes home with nothing. On expiry, time is the trade, not the direction. If you are buying naked options today, you are racing a clock that does not stop, and I wouldn't recommend you buy today. What about the world outside? No help this morning, and no real threat either. US tech was down about a percent overnight, Asia is mixed to soft, Japan and Hong Kong are both red. So the hot Asia tailwind that capped us on Monday morning is gone, and that is why GIFT Nifty is trading flat, not higher. 70. Nothing out of these forces a breakout, it argues for the same thing, the walls for a range. So the plan on expiry, it is discipline over ambition, guys. We open flat towards that 24,090 mark, right at the 24,100 pivot, which is also the max pain. Base case, a pin, a coil between 24,000 to 24,200, settling near that 24,100 mark. Trade the edges, not the middle. Reclaim and hold 24,150 and let it drift towards that 24,200 mark, but respect that resistance, it would take real short covering to close above 24,200, and there is no sign this morning that that is happening today. Lose 24,100 and stay under and slide towards that 24,000 is the trade, and 24,000 is where you look to buy the dip, because the floor has enormous support. Only a clean close below 24,000, and it would have to be a clean one, opens 23,950, then 23,900. Do not buy naked options and pray for it, do not chase the first tick, guys, today is not going to be a hugely option buying day. One caution, a pin is the base case, not a promise. The whole setup rests on these two walls holding and a spot opening between them. A break of any of these sides, a heavy directional move, can surprise the headline and the calm will flip very fast, because on expiry day the move feeds on itself. Keep your size small, guys, the reward on a pinned expiry is small by design, so the risk has to be smaller. So Tuesday in one breath. Monday's gap up held the 24,000 floor but stalled cold at 24,200 resistance and faded, the coil recoiled. Today is the weekly, the tightest room of the week, a 13 lakh floor at 24,000 under a 13 lakh ceiling at 24,200, max pain at 24,100, and we open flat in the middle, a range of 24,090. The expected move is just 129 points there. Walls and math both say the range. Pros nudge long, foreigners are still hedged with no conviction, and today's clock does the rest. Hold 24,150, that is the flip level, and it pins upwards towards that 24,200. Lose that 24,150 and it drifts to the 24,000 floor, where you would buy the dip. Call it a boxed in expiry, two walls and a clock. One last thing. Episode 65 graded five out of six, guys. Every level and the band landed, only the call that IT would keep dragging missed, because it bounced back. com. Trade the level, not the opinion. This is The Tanmay Edge. If this helped you read the tape more clearly, share it with one person who trades and needs it right now. Hit subscribe so you never miss a morning podcast notification. com, and also on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Amazon Music and every other platform, every trading day at 8:30 in the morning. And leave me a review, guys, I read every single one of them. I am waiting for your reviews. Have a happy expiry, guys, see you once again tomorrow. Questions ## EP66, in plain words. What does EP66 of The Tanmay Edge cover?EP66, Tuesday 23 Jun 2026, 12:35, in 8 chapters: Cold open: yesterday's gap up held the floor but stalled at the ceiling; The tape: a 95 point range and a clean sector rotation; The flows: foreigners sold cash, domestics held the tape; Positioning: pros flipped long, foreigners trimmed shorts; The map: two 13 lakh walls and a max pain at 24,100; The switch and the size of the day: 24,150 flip, a 129 point move; Education, 0DTE theta: right on direction, still lose on the clock; The plan and the grade: trade the edges, buy the 24,000 dip. How did the calls in EP66 score?Grade 3/8 (38 percent): 3 hit, 1 partial, 0 mechanical, 4 miss. Graded the next trading day, 24 Jun 2026, against NSE settlement. Is The Tanmay Edge investment advice?No. It is market commentary for education only, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. RupeeCase is not a SEBI registered investment adviser, and strategy figures on RupeeCase are model, back tested. 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